Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 2.677733 3.227709 3.845361 4.587889 5.453636 6.428399 7.606097
2025-05-18 1.787559 2.448642 3.274576 4.372127 5.780843 7.515619 9.799242
2025-05-25 1.250693 1.915561 2.825862 4.141426 5.967818 8.383677 11.784395
2025-06-01 0.961517 1.622818 2.602168 4.120809 6.369650 9.520971 14.199405
2025-06-08 0.769970 1.418553 2.448640 4.147464 6.806586 10.719270 16.791903
2025-06-15 0.620351 1.241179 2.293435 4.129428 7.150459 11.792733 19.284428
2025-06-22 0.476310 1.036261 2.049318 3.918095 7.146286 12.318104 20.979970
2025-06-29 0.391702 0.919459 1.931769 3.893259 7.428252 13.298686 23.446915
2025-07-06 0.324282 0.819512 1.824319 3.864126 7.689018 14.255823 25.942996
2025-07-13 0.297938 0.800310 1.867555 4.117286 8.471836 16.147890 30.125708
2025-07-20 0.264277 0.756181 1.851622 4.250741 9.044907 17.721161 33.882812
2025-07-27 0.240607 0.730050 1.868313 4.449480 9.757987 19.594073 38.289939
2025-08-03 0.203022 0.660500 1.780131 4.424016 10.044999 20.744765 41.554974
2025-08-10 0.163060 0.572996 1.633800 4.250755 10.015306 21.306406 43.804257
2025-08-17 0.128702 0.490201 1.481072 4.036918 9.871771 21.631681 45.633034
2025-08-24 0.109320 0.446614 1.418034 4.020421 10.142926 22.780259 49.091180
2025-08-31 0.094661 0.413567 1.376075 4.047713 10.511165 24.148755 53.065626
2025-09-07 0.080728 0.378149 1.320042 4.030453 10.774890 25.321954 56.733507
2025-09-14 0.063702 0.324471 1.198829 3.823717 10.572737 25.504381 58.427098
2025-09-21 0.054212 0.296527 1.148923 3.799448 10.800492 26.614735 62.080659
2025-09-28 0.046087 0.270889 1.100415 3.770946 11.013446 27.707124 65.766256
2025-10-05 0.044344 0.273423 1.145804 4.018757 11.944878 30.454397 73.102486
2025-10-12 0.040542 0.264746 1.151136 4.149408 12.589162 32.600965 79.282140